Heaven, Earth and James Trafford in a Leeds shirt — Square Ball 7/8/26
Written by: Calum Archibald
England's number... one?!
There were times in our promotion battle with Burnley (and
Sheffield United, ha!) when I looked at our incumbent number one and wished we
had what they had.
And now, finally, we do!
James Trafford is officially a Leeds United player and for
the first time in a long time, the goalkeeper’s jersey feels like it’s sorted
for the next couple of seasons and hopefully many more to come.
It’s the sort of signing that we’ve sat back and witnessed
other Premier League clubs make over the years. And if I was looking at this as
a neutral, I’d be a little bit baffled as to how on earth we’ve managed to pull
it off.
So, what are we getting for all that money?
At 23, Trafford has been tipped as the natural successor to
Jordan Pickford as England’s number one for the last couple of years, with a
record-breaking, stats-busting season in Burnley’s promotion earning him a move
back to Man City, despite interest from Newcastle.
Fast forward six weeks after returning to the Etihad, where
he had come through City’s academy, and Gigi Donnarumma was arriving, ousting
Trafford from what he thought was a season as Pep Guardiola’s first-choice
‘keeper.
Relegated to the role of back-up, with all but four of his
seventeen appearances arriving in cup competitions, Trafford still excelled in
his limited game time. He conceded nine goals despite facing an xG of 11.2,
meaning that, in effect, he conceded 2.2 goals less than he should have
statistically. For the sake of comparison, last season in the Premier League,
both Karl Darlow (1.6) and Lucas Perri (2.5) conceded more goals than they
should have statistically.
Add in his 24/25 record with Burnley, when he conceded just
sixteen goals in 46 games, preventing 12.6 xG over the campaign, and you get
the picture that Trafford is a pretty phenomenal shot stopper.
Who can forget his stand-off with Wilson Isidor, saving TWO
penalties the dying moments of a promotion six-pointer – check that one out
here and note the ‘housery on display from our new number one:
It’s clear that Trafford is a supremely confident goalkeeper
who relishes the big moments that ‘keepers tend to face in games, whether
that’s one v ones, penalties or dealing with dangerous situations.
There are, of course, some doubts that are worth addressing.
Trafford’s previous Premier League campaign before last season’s four outings
with Man City came in Burnley’s relegation under Vincent Kompany. He struggled
at times, with a couple of high-profile errors, before being dropped with ten
games to go.
But there are some mitigating factors worth considering with
that season. Firstly, Trafford joined Burnley as a 20-year-old, having never
played above League One, and was tending goal for a side that failed to win any
of their opening six games and eventually went down on 24 points with 78 goals
conceded.
There are also some valid concerns about his command of the
area at times, with Trafford sometimes favouring the approach of staying on his
line to back himself as a shot stopper should the situation arise, rather than
being more proactive and claiming the ball.
Again, though, this is a 23-year-old keeper with three
seasons worth of experience as a first-choice goalkeeper, all in different
divisions, who needs a permanent landing spot to kick on.
To get a proper lowdown, I spoke with David Mooney from the
Blue Moon podcast to get some Man City perspective on the move:
“We shouldn’t be selling, but we’ve obviously dropped the
ball with him, and he can’t trust us now.
“But he’s miles better than Donnarumma at all the things we
want from a keeper. Commands his box better, plays out better, calmer in
possession and can play passes that don’t bobble around everywhere (he’s no
Ederson, but who is?).
“Donnarumma might make better saves in moments and be more
reliable when you need a keeper to save you unexpectedly, but Trafford for me
is the better package.
“He’s made some brilliant saves at key times too (there was
a sensational one last year at Brighton but because we lost and conceded after
this save it gets forgotten).
“I really feel like we’ve got this backwards and should be
moving heaven and earth to convince Trafford to stay as number one. A lot of
his upside is potential, but I’ve no doubt he’ll achieve it.”
So why is Trafford signing for Leeds?
Because we’re bloody massive, obviously.
It’s a question being asked by everyone and I do think there
is an element of luck in there for us. Trafford could well have been firmly
ensconced as Newcastle’s first-choice goalkeeper had they ponied up twelve
months ago before City swooped in. Then the signing of Donnarumma put the
wheels in motion for Trafford to look for an exit ramp this summer.
After an FA Cup 4th Round win over Salford, Trafford said:
“It wasn’t what I expected coming into the season (being
second choice). It’s the reality and I have to give it my best shot. It’s the
situation I’m in. We train every day but making saves [in competitive games],
it’s good fun.”
A trip to North America for the World Cup where Trafford
didn’t’ even get the nod to don the gloves for the ‘Bronze Final’ game may well
have further strengthened his feeling that it really is a short career and
another season of being a back-up for club and country doesn’t whet his
appetite.
But there are, after all, only twenty first-choice
goalkeeper spots in the Premier League and he realistically only had a handful
to choose from, given that City were unlikely to sell to Scum or Liverpool.
The vision the club can sell is important, too.
It’s no longer showing League One players around a
state-of-the-art training ground and a vague assertion about the passion of the
fanbase.
It’s a real, tangible ‘project’ that the club can sell to
players. A promise of a platform where the fanbase is vociferous, you’ll be in
a stable, secure side who are ready to become a firm Premier League mainstay,
and the work on the stadium and surrounding areas is visible.
Football is a small world and players talk, so the
positivity will be well known. Whether it’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin getting his
first England call-up in years, Harry Wilson joining after a career best season
or Tarik Muharemovic choosing Leeds over other Premier League clubs in European
competitions, there is a clear appeal for Trafford.
It’s been a lifetime since we had a consistent presence in
the Leeds United goal that we could all rely on AND we all loved. Nigel Martyn
is the gold standard for Leeds fans of any age, and it’ll take some going for
Trafford to get there, but this does feel like the 2026 version of that
signing.
So, are we back?
United are back, United are back!
It feels that way, doesn’t it? This is the summer we needed
in 2021 and 2022, the one where it feels like we’ve hit the reset button on
everything that happened between 2004-2018.
Signings like these are for every punt, some c*nt on a free
and Victor Orta broken toy signing that we made for so, so, so many years.
Doing the sensible thing and signing ‘known quantities’
where there’s a baseline guarantee of a certain level of performance does feel
a little bit unusual and I won’t quite believe it until the season starts and
things don’t immediately fall to pieces.
But as far as the summer transfer window goes, this all
feels… sensible. The sort of sensible, meticulous business that makes you
wonder if maybe we’re finally getting the club we deserve.
So, to quote Noel Gallagher in 1997, am I happy with that?
No, I’m not! I want MORE!