Whatever division Leeds are in, a thorough rebuild is needed this summer - The Athletic 22/3/22
By Phil Hay
By the end of the week that Leeds United bit the bullet and
changed head coach, the cost of their absences was beyond extortionate. With 12
games still to play, the club had sustained twice as many injuries as the
average Premier League team suffers over an entire season. Almost every player
had missed minutes at some stage.
Now, a few weeks on, that trend is continuing. If anything,
it peaked at Wolverhampton Wanderers last Friday with a spate of carnage that
stretched their physio department: a damaged foot for Patrick Bamford, a back
problem for Diego Llorente, a hip issue for Illan Meslier, concussion for
Mateusz Klich and a knee-high tackle inflicting pain on Stuart Dallas. Five
injuries in one night — the way it seems to be at Leeds.
As new head coach Jesse Marsch went through them one by one
post-match, he took solace from the fact that none of the individual knocks or
strains appeared to be particularly severe. Regardless, Marsch always intended
to give the squad a meaningful rest through the international break now
underway. This two-week interlude has been perfectly timed after back-to-back
wins and at a point in the season when so many players need some downtime. The
48 hours after Wolves were taken up with medical scans and decisions about who was
fit enough to travel abroad for international duty.
There is, though, nobody at Leeds who would deny the bruises
and sacrifices were worth it. The past week has been colossal, a period that
might prove to be season-defining at Elland Road.
From the depths of real peril, Leeds are suddenly on 29
points and much closer to a third straight year of Premier League football.
They have ground left to cover to guarantee top-flight status for 2022-23 but
are not so far from being able to think about how Marsch’s tenure will evolve
beyond the short-term priority of survival. More positive results when the
season resumes at the start of next month would give Leeds the freedom to step
more confidently into forward-planning mode.
The unavoidable conclusion from this brush with relegation
is that the squad at Elland Road was inadequately built for this particular
season. It is too brittle and thin for comfort.
Leeds have been handicapped by an injury list a mile beyond
the length of most but there is a chicken and egg debate around it — whether
the absences have made the squad inadequate or whether an inadequate squad
contributed to those injuries. Some would say both statements are true.
Summer transfer windows on Marcelo Bielsa’s watch were
invariably measured events. He never changed the face of his dressing room too
much in one go, but this close-season, irrespective of the division Leeds are
in, will demand a more thorough rebuild.
Where, then, should attention be focused, particularly now
that Leeds are about to build a team for Marsch rather than augment a Bielsa
one?
As Bamford retreated to the bench in tears at Molineux on Friday night, dejected by aggravating a foot injury inside 25 minutes, it was hard not to think again about how makeshift Leeds have been up front this season.
It is becoming their first port of call for recruitment.
There are plenty of players at Elland Road who pass as
forwards but few who look like full-blown centre-forwards.
Sam Greenwood appearing as Bamford’s replacement at Wolves
for only his second Premier League appearance was an example of their lack of
depth. Too often, it has been academy players thrown in at the deep end,
wingers pushed into the middle and goals in short supply.
Marsch’s early matches suggest that, much like Bielsa,
Rodrigo is someone he wants in a role behind the No 9. That position is still
Bamford’s domain, if only Leeds could raise him to a permanent level of match
fitness.
Forty-five minutes on the pitch against Norwich City just
over a week ago were enough to remind Elland Road how effective Bamford can be.
A dependable, combative centre-forward was not just a Bielsa requirement.
Leeds will need a fit Bamford next season, but it should be
apparent by now that alongside the prodigious talent of Joe Gelhardt, they need
proven competition that makes the position more easily interchangeable.
Bielsa was deeply unlucky to lose the spine of his team to
injury from early December onward but the difficulty in replacing that is a
glaring indicator of what Leeds have to do in the summer.
Where Rodrigo is concerned, there was a message for Marsch
in what happened when he lost the Spain international to a thigh injury during
that 2-1 win over Norwich.
Marsch’s answer was to replace him with Robin Koch, a
defensive move that had the effect of bringing Norwich into the game in the
last half-hour. The situation called for a more aggressive substitution — a
like-for-like swap in the attacking midfield area. The club have been light
there all season, ever since their failed bid to sign Conor Gallagher on loan
from Chelsea in July. Their campaign has had a square-pegs-in-round-holes feel,
crying out for additional match-winners.
Leeds have telegraphed the fact that when the summer window opens, they intend to make a fresh bid for Red Bull Salzburg’s Brenden Aaronson. US international midfielder Aaronson joined the serial Austrian champions in 2020 while countryman Marsch was head coach there, so his appointment at Elland Road was never likely to diminish Leeds’ interest.
The dip in creativity within a squad who were so adept at
creating chances for so long under Bielsa has left little doubt that Aaronson
is broadly the type of footballer they should be looking at in the next window:
largely within budget, and in possession of the right skill set. Leeds must
wish they had found a way to address that midfield nine months ago.
The goals they are conceding, however, might force them to
re-evaluate just as seriously the defensive structure of their team out wide.
Leeds have a problem at full-back on both sides of the pitch
and have seen teams exploit those areas to good effect recently. Both of
Wolves’ goals on Friday were created by runs beyond Dallas on the left, and
Aston Villa’s opener in their 3-0 win at Elland Road two weeks ago was made in
the same way, albeit on the other side: one runner dragging Dallas forward and
another, Lucas Digne, sprinting into the space left behind, free to pick out
attacking options arriving in the box. Much as Bielsa always took risks with
his full-backs, it has developed into a significant area of weakness.
Junior Firpo’s first season with Leeds has been a partial
story of injuries but positionally and technically, he is yet to show that he
is suited to the Premier League. Luke Ayling was one of Bielsa’s biggest success
stories and he has telling performances up his sleeve, like that culminating in
the stoppage-time winner at Wolves, but the 30-year-old’s form has been more
intermittent than in previous years, a struggle others at Elland Road can
relate to.
Leeds suffer noticeably without a peak Ayling at right-back,
and they also suffer when he is asked to play elsewhere.
There are too many games where this team are prone to
imbalance and too few ways of solving it. One of the big questions for Marsch
come the end of this season will be how heavily he can continue to lean on the
core of players who struck gold under Bielsa. Those stalwarts might themselves
appreciate the introduction of fresh blood and support.
The next stage for Leeds is not so much about gutting their
squad as it is adding to it.
There are plenty of existing players of whom Marsch can make
something, but not enough to ride out another Premier League season and not
enough to let sentiment interfere with the club’s development.
Leeds, however this season ends, are at the end of one
cycle.
Between injuries, shortcomings and the call for investment,
it should not be too difficult to deduce what the new cycle needs.